IN THE TOURNEY?	STATUS	RANK	TEAM	W	L	WIN PCT	OPPWIN %	TEAM PPG	OPP PPG	ADJ INDEX
Y	AT LARGE	1	HOUSTON	30	4	0.882	0.594	73.03	56.97	117.0704
Y	AT LARGE	2	PURDUE	29	4	0.879	0.598	83.39	70.15	110.0345
Y	AT LARGE	4	ARIZONA	25	8	0.758	0.576	87.94	72.24	102.9884
Y	AT LARGE	5	TENNESSEE	24	8	0.750	0.604	79.47	67.88	102.8824
Y	AT LARGE	8	ALABAMA	21	11	0.656	0.631	90.75	81.06	99.6105
Y	AT LARGE	9	UNC	27	7	0.794	0.575	81.47	70.24	99.5516
Y	AT LARGE	11	DUKE	24	8	0.750	0.536	79.84	67.44	93.6858
Y	AT LARGE	12	BAYLOR	23	10	0.697	0.601	80.55	71.21	92.4561
Y	AT LARGE	13	BYU	23	10	0.697	0.549	81.85	69.91	91.0228
Y	AT LARGE	14	DAYTON	24	7	0.774	0.590	74.74	66.29	90.5530
Y	AT LARGE	15	WISCONSIN	22	13	0.629	0.606	75.06	69.94	90.0018
Y	AT LARGE	17	CREIGHTON	23	9	0.719	0.550	80.53	69.72	89.6716
Y	AT LARGE	18	MARQUETTE	25	9	0.735	0.571	78.29	69.71	89.2310
Y	AT LARGE	19	KANSAS	22	10	0.688	0.600	75.25	68.69	88.5862
Y	AT LARGE	20	KENTUCKY	23	9	0.719	0.544	89.44	79.69	87.5556
Y	AT LARGE	21	SAN DIEGO STATE	24	10	0.706	0.621	74.59	66.56	87.5124
Y	AT LARGE	22	CLEMSON	21	11	0.656	0.578	77.41	71.31	86.7394
Y	AT LARGE	25	TEXAS TECH	23	10	0.697	0.561	75.58	69.33	86.1169
Y	AT LARGE	26	MICHIGAN STATE	19	14	0.576	0.594	73.12	65.94	85.8014
Y	AT LARGE	27	FLORIDA ATLANTIC	25	8	0.758	0.560	82.55	73.27	85.3370
Y	AT LARGE	28	MISSISSIPPI STATE	21	13	0.618	0.595	74.76	69.06	84.0353
Y	AT LARGE	29	TEXAS	20	12	0.625	0.574	76.53	69.88	84.0283
Y	AT LARGE	30	NEBRASKA	23	10	0.697	0.544	77.58	70.09	83.9474
Y	AT LARGE	31	FLORIDA	24	11	0.686	0.559	85.14	78.54	83.9376
Y	AT LARGE	32	COLORADO	24	10	0.706	0.553	79.29	71.18	83.7881
Y	AT LARGE	33	GONZAGA	25	7	0.781	0.541	84.88	68.97	83.7068
Y	AT LARGE	34	NEVADA	26	7	0.788	0.549	76.42	67.06	83.4666
N	AT LARGE	35	CINCINNATI	20	14	0.588	0.569	74.62	67.88	82.3352
N	AT LARGE	36	INDIANA STATE	28	6	0.824	0.505	84.41	72.00	82.1322
Y	AT LARGE	37	COLORADO STATE	24	10	0.706	0.601	76.35	68.35	81.8599
N	AT LARGE	38	PITT	22	11	0.667	0.533	75.61	67.64	81.0561
N	AT LARGE	39	WAKE FOREST	20	13	0.606	0.546	78.18	70.45	80.9343
Y	AT LARGE	40	WASHINGTON STATE	24	9	0.727	0.530	74.30	66.88	80.5635
Y	AT LARGE	41	TCU	21	12	0.636	0.542	79.24	71.24	79.9462
Y	AT LARGE	42	NORTHWESTERN	21	11	0.656	0.533	73.69	69.00	79.6007
Y	AT LARGE	43	UTAH STATE	27	6	0.818	0.552	79.79	70.27	79.5608
Y	CONF CHAMPS	3	AUBURN	27	7	0.794	0.566	83.32	68.03	103.5143
Y	CONF CHAMPS	6	UCONN	31	3	0.912	0.517	81.47	64.41	102.0839
Y	CONF CHAMPS	7	IOWA STATE	27	7	0.794	0.566	75.56	61.29	101.4311
Y	CONF CHAMPS	10	ILLINOIS	26	8	0.765	0.573	84.41	73.79	95.4192
Y	CONF CHAMPS	16	NEW MEXICO	26	9	0.743	0.581	81.71	70.51	89.7851
Y	CONF CHAMPS	23	DRAKE	28	6	0.824	0.562	80.47	70.50	86.6200
Y	CONF CHAMPS	24	SAINT MARY’S	26	7	0.788	0.547	74.24	58.73	86.5412
Y	CONF CHAMPS	49	GRAND CANYON	28	4	0.875	0.508	78.41	66.69	78.4959
Y	CONF CHAMPS	55	DUQUESNE	24	11	0.686	0.591	70.77	66.03	77.2230
Y	CONF CHAMPS	60	OREGON	23	11	0.676	0.545	75.32	71.85	75.3378
Y	CONF CHAMPS	61	NC STATE	22	14	0.611	0.553	76.36	72.69	75.3126
Y	CONF CHAMPS	72	SAMFORD	29	5	0.853	0.501	85.97	73.94	72.5059
Y	CONF CHAMPS	76	YALE	22	9	0.710	0.568	75.16	66.61	71.0885
Y	CONF CHAMPS	79	UAB	23	11	0.676	0.566	77.82	75.24	70.3203
Y	CONF CHAMPS	84	VERMONT	28	6	0.824	0.511	72.32	62.97	69.4953
Y	CONF CHAMPS	86	COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON	27	7	0.794	0.507	80.47	72.53	69.2095
Y	CONF CHAMPS	88	JAMES MADISON	31	3	0.912	0.427	84.35	69.18	68.9081
Y	CONF CHAMPS	115	AKRON	24	10	0.706	0.522	74.03	65.85	60.9574
Y	CONF CHAMPS	119	OAKLAND	23	11	0.676	0.518	76.41	72.91	60.1162
Y	CONF CHAMPS	122	MCNEESE STATE	30	3	0.909	0.475	80.42	61.52	59.6970
Y	CONF CHAMPS	136	LONGWOOD	21	13	0.618	0.514	75.56	67.94	57.3487
Y	CONF CHAMPS	140	WESTERN KENTUCKY	22	11	0.667	0.488	80.58	74.06	57.0592
Y	CONF CHAMPS	148	SOUTH DAKOTA STATE	22	12	0.647	0.514	76.76	70.82	55.8289
Y	CONF CHAMPS	154	LONG BEACH STATE	21	14	0.600	0.491	77.74	75.71	54.6620
Y	CONF CHAMPS	177	MOREHEAD STATE	26	8	0.765	0.501	75.47	62.79	52.1536
Y	CONF CHAMPS	187	ST. PETER’S	19	13	0.594	0.484	65.34	63.44	51.0566
Y	CONF CHAMPS	199	COLGATE	25	9	0.735	0.470	71.50	63.24	50.0021
Y	CONF CHAMPS	211	MONTANA STATE	17	17	0.500	0.509	75.12	74.06	47.5304
Y	CONF CHAMPS	222	STETSON	22	12	0.647	0.498	77.50	72.79	46.3191
Y	CONF CHAMPS	267	HOWARD	18	16	0.529	0.462	75.15	74.38	40.8763
Y	CONF CHAMPS	288	WAGNER	16	15	0.516	0.440	63.55	62.10	38.9591
Y	CONF CHAMPS	325	GRAMBLING	20	14	0.588	0.489	67.59	69.03	31.3719
N	FIRST 4 OUT	44	OKLAHOMA	20	12	0.625	0.555	75.38	68.78	79.5034
N	FIRST 4 OUT	45	ST. JOHN’S (NY)	20	13	0.606	0.547	78.85	71.94	79.3514
N	FIRST 4 OUT	46	VCU	22	13	0.629	0.590	71.51	66.69	79.1745
N	FIRST 4 OUT	47	OHIO STATE	20	13	0.606	0.552	74.91	69.48	79.1556
Y	SECOND 4 OUT	50	BOISE STATE	22	10	0.688	0.587	75.81	67.53	78.2112
Y	SECOND 4 OUT	51	SOUTH CAROLINA	26	7	0.788	0.514	72.03	66.97	78.1628
N	SECOND 4 OUT	52	UTAH	19	14	0.576	0.567	78.06	72.64	78.1540
Y	SECOND 4 OUT	53	TEXAS A&M	20	14	0.588	0.568	74.79	70.82	77.8527
Y	MISSED TEAM	63	VIRGINIA	23	10	0.697	0.532	63.58	59.58	74.8117

The Boxand1Hoops formula was able to predict 32 of the 36 at-large teams. The biggest overestimated team was Cincinnati; the biggest underestimated team was Virginia.